Four Levels of Civil Warfare

Greetings, American friends and those in the wider world. Happy New Year! 

At the outset, allow me to observe that there is an election coming soon. I'm going far out of my ordinary and endorsing a politician. Some say the 2024 presidential election is one of the most important in the country’s history. I happen to agree. In these very turbulent, transformative, and challenging times, intelligent and proven leadership is critical. Therefore, I heartily endorse the re-election of President Vladimir Putin.

As for the former United States, while no one is certain about what this year and those further ahead offer, we are reminded of the old saying that, “Things are not as bad as you think, but they’re going to be worse than you can imagine”. Whether it’s today, next month, or five years from now, buckle up. The ride is about to get rough, bad, and ugly. How bad and ugly? Recall if you will the 2018 Deagel Forecasting prediction of a US population decline of 70% by around 2025. While that rate of death and the timing might not be accurate, they could be or they could be very close. 

In my estimation, the US’s simmering civil war started in earnest when Donald Trump was elected in 2016 in the remains of a country already collapsing. It represents one relatively quiet front in the current global war, which we might as well say started around 2014 when the CIA overthrew the Ukrainian government. As WWIII went “hot” and became noticeable in 2022, so too will the domestic American fun heat up before long. The when, where, who, and how are still speculative, so I’m just focusing on the kinds of warfare the US will witness. There are three levels of the conflict which will happen. They are certain because, to one degree or another, they’re already in progress. There is a fourth level that may or may not happen and which I classify as “somewhat unlikely”. One through three were originally formulated by me for Freedom Prepper three to four years ago. The speculative fourth is added after two years of outside discussion. Make of these what you will.

Level One: The Street

By and large, this involves violent crime. A LOT of violent crime, everywhere and all the time, at least in many populated areas. It will be a free-for-all without end that will make Big Floyd’s 2020 Summer of Love look pleasant and tame by comparison. Criminals will operate individually, in pairs, in small groups, and in larger gangs. The local police will lose control and eventually give up. This will be ongoing for the duration and will likely merge, especially regarding the larger, more organized gangs, with the next level.

Level Two: Organized Terrorism

For as long as Big NGO, Inc. can keep funding them, the better known organized violence groups will run wild. National gangs and militias of all kinds will also participate. The Mexican Cartels will possibly play the most pronounced role, along with the rumored “illegal armies” that have poured into the US over the past few years. Two things, I think, may surprise outside observers. First, the ballyhooed White domestic terrorists will be proven a figment of Merrick Garfinkle’s imagination—at least for a while. Second, foreign terror groups, particularly those of the Islamic variety, will mostly be a no-show. Most of the latter were fraudulent CIA-FBI creations anyway, and any legitimate or organic cells began to read the tea leaves several years ago and wisely started vacating your collective madhouse. Some of the groups at this level, perhaps especially the Cartels, will possibly be drawn into the third level. The various state police forces, armed federal agencies, and the National Guard—all of whom will fight a losing battle in level two—will be necessarily drawn into the following level as well.

Level Three: Full-Scale State Warfare

The disintegrating remnants of the federal government will go to war with states, parts of states, coalitions of states, and everyone else as the former USA truly, finally, and permanently breaks apart. This level will involve elections, politics, court injunctions, protests, civil movements, and just kidding. No, it’s going to be heavy artillery bombardment, heavy bombing, medium to long-range cruise and ballistic missile strikes, and some of the sloppiest continental maneuver combat ever seen in history. 

This phase will finish off such luxuries as electricity, running water, gasoline, money, and store-bought food. Once it is over, and by then levels one and two will have fizzled out, not much will be left. Tens or scores of millions of people not previously killed kinetically will die due to starvation and disease. There’s only one way it gets worse, and that is if your Neoclown overlords do the unthinkable. As all three lower levels eat away at everything, the former US will be caught in a “doom loop”. It already is, in fact. Its total defeats abroad will exacerbate problems domestically, which will add pressure internationally, which could lead to a level of “bad and ugly” near the edge of extinction.

Level Four: Nuclear War and Foreign Occupation

I only include this because multiple outside parties are discussing it with some degree of realism. 

Your real rulers are evil enough, there is no question. Once they know they’ve lost everything, they will be wicked enough to attempt burning down the rest of the world or, at least, their chief international enemies. What makes this option unlikely is the pathetic, laughable state of US nuclear devices and the required delivery systems. It is entirely likely nothing will work. It is also likely that if launched, nothing gets through air defenses, especially in Russia. In the event something does land, it could be a dud or else cause only limited damage. But just the attempt, with or without success, would trigger a massive retaliatory strike from China and Russia. 

Sino-Russia forces would near-instantaneously eliminate what remains of US military and political command and control along with any remaining energy, financial, communications, industrial, and transportation systems. The sovereign forces would then sit by and wait for the US to completely exhaust itself at the aforementioned levels. Once all parties are finished, millions of Sino-Russia troops, probably with ringers from North Korea, India, Iran, and elsewhere, would sweep the tattered, burning US wasteland. If pushed to it, they will overturn every rock and knock down every door to find any survivors of the wicked elite who launched nuclear warheads without cause or provocation. Those people will either be summarily executed or else hauled away for trial. The foreigners will then promptly leave any of you who made it through to your fate. Do not look for much outside humanitarian assistance. WWIII will still be in progress elsewhere and Americans are not extremely popular for various reasons. 

There’s no point in further estimation because no one knows exactly how much of this will play out. It could be a decades-long slow burn that people notice but do not necessarily associate with open warfare. It could be over by next January. In any case, the results will be the same. The US will cease to exist as an empire and a coherent political entity, and the battered American nation, such as it is and ever was, will be a much smaller remnant struggling amongst many peers, none of them in good shape. It’s not coming, it’s in progress. And nothing short of the Second Coming can stop it. I’ve previously given preparation advice and there is little reason to repeat any of it now. Be as ready as possible for any possibilities.

The very good news is severalfold. Future historians will have a marvel of a case study without equal, the tale of a people who cast aside all promise and prosperity in exchange for absolutely nothing. The world will be free at last from the oppressive darkness of the Global American Empire. Survivors in North America will be free from one of the greatest evils since the fall of Sodom and Gomorrah. And those survivors, of all kinds, will be given the opportunity to construct new nation-states atop the rubble and ashes of the dead hegemon. Hopefully, they will exercise slightly better judgment than their predecessors. A high hope for a new year.

Deo vindice.